Lower Bounds for Bruss’ Odds Problem with Multiple Stoppings

Published Online:https://doi.org/10.1287/moor.2015.0748

This paper addresses Bruss’ odds problem with multiple stopping chances. A decision maker sequentially observes a sequence of independent 0/1 (failure/success) random variables to correctly predict the last success with multiple stopping chances. First, we give a nontrivial lower bound of the probability of win (obtaining the last success) for the problem with m-stoppings. Next, we show that the asymptotic value for each classical secretary problem with multiple stoppings attains our lower bound. Finally, we prove a conjecture on the classical secretary problem, which gives a connection between the probability of win and the threshold values of the optimal stopping strategy.

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