Sample vs. Population Mean-Variance Efficient Portfolios

Published Online:https://doi.org/10.1287/mnsc.26.11.1108

It is common to use historical data in calculating the rates of return of risky options, and these data are used to calculate the mean and the variance, which are employed in the (MV) preference ranking.

In this paper we study the effect of possible sampling error on the portfolio ranking. It is shown that in order to keep the error at a reasonable level (5 percent), one needs 50–100 observations, a number that is rarely used in the (MV) comparison of portfolios. The results are almost independent of the correlation between the portfolios.

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