Optimal Investment for Worst-Case Crash Scenarios: A Martingale Approach

Published Online:https://doi.org/10.1287/moor.1100.0459

We investigate the optimal portfolio problem under the threat of a financial market crash in a multidimensional jump-diffusion framework. We set up a nonprobabilistic crash model and consider an investor that seeks to maximize CRRA utility in the worst possible crash scenario. We recast the problem as a stochastic differential game; with the help of the fundamental notion of indifference strategies, we completely solve the portfolio problem using martingale arguments.

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