Sex, Lies, and the Hillblom Estate: A Decision Analysis

Published Online:https://doi.org/10.1287/deca.1040.0025

We present three approaches to evaluating a publicly detailed, high-stakes, high-risk decision made by an heir-claimant to the estate of Larry Hillblom. The first two approaches are standard: a decision tree focusing on risk aversion and a multiperiod consumption model that highlights the effects of forgone consumption. In the third approach, we embed several Nash bargaining games into the decision tree developed in the first approach.

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