Correcting Casualty Estimates

Published Online:https://doi.org/10.1287/inte.24.5.67

Data from battle simulations can be used to estimate the casualties in real battles. An instrumentation system measures and records events and variables and controls simulated kills of battle units in military field experiments. After-action reviews show that kills have not always been assessed properly. Since the kills assigned during a trial affect the simulated battle (and the data), the estimates of expected casualties may be incorrect. It is possible to correct initial casualty estimates to account for errors in assessing kills.

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