Principles of Operations Research—10. The Titanic Coincidence

Published Online:https://doi.org/10.1287/inte.5.3.53

The operations analyst must learn to be ruthlessly realistic in writing the scenarios for the environment of the system, especially in respect to events of low probability which may seem at first glance to be independent, if he is to avoid “coincidences” like those which befell the Titanic.

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