A Multiplicative Formula for Aggregating Probability Assessments

Robert F. Bordley
Robert F. Bordley
General Motors Research Labs, Warren, Michigan
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General Motors Research Labs, Warren, Michigan

Published Online:1 Oct 1982https://doi.org/10.1287/mnsc.28.10.1137

Abstract

This paper presents an axiomatic approach to the problem of aggregating expert assessments of an event's probability into some group probability assessment. A multiplicative formula is derived.

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Volume 28, Issue 10

October 1982

Pages 1091-1213

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Published Online:October 01, 1982

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Robert F. Bordley, (1982) A Multiplicative Formula for Aggregating Probability Assessments. Management Science 28(10):1137-1148.

https://doi.org/10.1287/mnsc.28.10.1137

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A Multiplicative Formula for Aggregating Probability Assessments

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Volume 28, Issue 10

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