Optimal Integrated Control of Univoltine Pest Populations with Age Structure

Published Online:https://doi.org/10.1287/opre.30.1.40

A procedure is presented for calculating optima integration and timing of biological, chemical and cultural methods for control of a univoltine pest population in a random environment. The procedure describes a system of high dimension by two nested models: a stochastic dynamic programming problem with four state variables and a more detailed differential equation model describing the effect of management and weather on population demography and crop yield. A computational algorithm is presented which reduces computation requirements for the population model from about 1013 operations to 106 operations for a typical example. Results are presented from the application of the method to control the alfalfa weevil by a combination of insecticide applications, early harvesting, and biological control provided by a parasite.

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