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Exploratory Modeling for Policy Analysis

Steve Bankes
Steve Bankes
RAND, Santa Monica, California
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Steve Bankes

RAND, Santa Monica, California

Search for more papers by this author

Published Online:1 Jun 1993https://doi.org/10.1287/opre.41.3.435

Cited by
- Evaluating rule induction algorithms for scenario discovery
  Environmental Modelling & Software, Vol. 203
- Unlocking clean energy transitions in developing countries: A robust policy mix exploration for Mexico
  Utilities Policy, Vol. 101
- swxg: A Python Library for Generalized Multivariate, Multisite, Copula-Based Stochastic Weather Generation
  Journal of Open Research Software, Vol. 14
- Examining food sharing practices in Caribbean Small Island Developing States and their potential for improving health outcomes, through a system-informed lens
  Wellbeing, Space and Society, Vol. 12
- A model-based adaptive planning framework using surrogate modelling for urban transport systems under uncertainty
  31 May 2026 | Sustainable and Resilient Infrastructure, Vol. 31
- Multi-attribute COVID-19 policy evaluation under deep uncertainty
  6 March 2022 | Annals of Operations Research, Vol. 360, No. 1
- Reasonable Sufficiency as a Decision Framework for Resource-Efficient Analysis in Applied Engineering
  15 May 2026 | Applied Sciences, Vol. 16, No. 10
- FutureScapes: A design thinking approach to blending computational models and scenario narratives for urban futures
  24 April 2026 | Environment and Planning B: Urban Analytics and City Science, Vol. 67
- Informing the Delineation of Input Uncertainty Space in Exploratory Modelling Using a Heuristic Approach
  10 April 2026 | INSIGHT, Vol. 29, No. 2
- Multi-criteria option comparison in complex environments
  18 October 2025 | Information Visualization, Vol. 25, No. 2
- The uncharted way to an uncertain future: exploratory modelling in road infrastructure
  25 March 2026 | Transportation Planning and Technology, Vol. 14
- When inventories are not financial losses: a comparative analysis between lean and theory of constraints concepts for production synchronisation
  29 October 2025 | International Journal of Production Research, Vol. 64, No. 6
- Advanced modeling and management strategies for nuclear and radiological incidents: from decision support to adaptive governance
  13 March 2026 | Frontiers in Nuclear Engineering, Vol. 5
- Synthesising simulation quality: an algorithmic analysis of development practices across the simulation lifecycle
  19 May 2025 | Journal of Simulation, Vol. 20, No. 2
- Modelling energy justice: Reconceptualizing the modelling process to include procedural and recognition justice
  Environmental Innovation and Societal Transitions, Vol. 58
- Where will the change come from? Identifying decision-relevant factors in future Land Use and Cover Change (LUCC) scenarios to support planning under uncertainty
  Futures, Vol. 176
- The Politics of Policy Robustness: A Central Paradox and Computational Review of Adaptive Policymaking
  21 January 2026 | Public Administration and Development
- RColSim: An R-Based Open-Source Regional Water Management Model for the Columbia River Basin
  1 April 2026 | Journal of Open Research Software, Vol. 14, No. 1
- Investment feasibility of green hydrogen production from geothermal electricity: Navigating uncertainty with exploratory financial modeling and analysis
  International Journal of Hydrogen Energy, Vol. 202
- Uncertainty in estimating the relative change of design floods under climate change: a stylized experiment with process-based, deep learning, and hybrid models
  Journal of Hydrology, Vol. 664
- Probabilistic analysis of tripling global renewables based on Bayesian-inferred growth dynamics model
  Renewable Energy, Vol. 256
- Exploratory system dynamics modelling of urban travel demand amid electrification, automation, and sharing technologies: insights from Shanghai
  17 August 2025 | Transportmetrica B: Transport Dynamics, Vol. 13, No. 1
- Cable pooling to add renewables amid grid congestion: Exploring optimal integration of solar and batteries with existing onshore wind under cost uncertainty
  Sustainable Energy, Grids and Networks, Vol. 44
- Participatory model-based policy exploration for the mobility transition
  Transportation Research Interdisciplinary Perspectives, Vol. 34
- Exploiting Multi‐Objective Reinforcement Learning and Explainable Artificial Intelligence to Navigate Robust Regional Water Supply Investment Pathways
  17 November 2025 | Water Resources Research, Vol. 61, No. 11
- Complexity and uncertainty in future food system transformation modelling
  10 November 2025 | Nature Food, Vol. 6, No. 11
- Scenario discovery to address deep uncertainty in monetary policy
  Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Vol. 179
- System dynamics modeling of the global nickel supply system at a mine‐level resolution: Toward prospective dynamic criticality and resilience data
  14 July 2025 | Journal of Industrial Ecology, Vol. 29, No. 5
- Simulation‐based analysis of country‐specific mitigation strategies to decarbonize the passenger car fleet: A comparison between Germany, Poland, and Norway
  24 August 2025 | Journal of Industrial Ecology, Vol. 29, No. 5
- Enfrentar la incertidumbre en la agricultura: una guía introductoria para la toma de decisiones robusta frente al cambio climático
  1 January 2025 | Ciencia y Agricultura, Vol. 22, No. 1
- Exploring “Many Objective Robust Decision Making” for managing uncertainty in climate policy analysis for the transport sector
  Transportation Research Interdisciplinary Perspectives, Vol. 32
- Advancing the Representation of Human Actions in Large‐Scale Hydrological Models: Challenges and Future Research Directions
  2 July 2025 | Water Resources Research, Vol. 61, No. 7
- Refugees' Settlement in Greece: Employment in Agriculture as a Criterion for an Alternative Dispersal Plan
  11 March 2025 | Growth and Change, Vol. 56, No. 2
- Under what conditions? A scenario‐based approach for exploring the prerequisites of future events
  14 October 2024 | FUTURES & FORESIGHT SCIENCE, Vol. 7, No. 1
- Trends and opportunities in adaptive planning for the built environment: A literature review
  City and Environment Interactions, Vol. 26
- Development of a multi-objective decision support system for eco-hydrological forest management that quantifies and optimizes ecosystem services related to Carbon, Water, Fire-risk and Eco-resilience (CAFE)
  Journal of Environmental Management, Vol. 380
- Exploring Water System Vulnerabilities in California's Central Valley Under the Late Renaissance Megadrought and Climate Change
  24 April 2025 | Earth's Future, Vol. 13, No. 4
- The Impact of Extreme Sea Level Rise on the National Strategies for Flood Protection and Freshwater in the Netherlands
  21 March 2025 | Water, Vol. 17, No. 7
- PATH-U: A data-driven agent-based wayfinding model incorporating perceived path uncertainty and cognitive strategies in unfamiliar indoor environments
  23 December 2024 | Building Simulation, Vol. 18, No. 2
- Data-driven analysis of strategic–operational interfaces in freight electrification under deep uncertainty
  Transportation Research Part D: Transport and Environment, Vol. 139
- Supporting Climate-Related Decisions Under Uncertainty
  15 July 2025
- Evidence-Driven Computational Modeling
  1 January 2025 | SSRN Electronic Journal, Vol. 99
- DECISION MAKING UNDER DEEP UNCERTAINTY APPLIED TO PLANNING AND EVALUATION OF CALIMATE CHANGE ADAPTATION MEASURES
  Japanese Journal of JSCE, Vol. 81, No. 2
- Integrating Multi-Model Simulations to Address Partial Observability in Population Dynamics: A Python-Based Ecological Tool
  26 December 2024 | Applied Sciences, Vol. 15, No. 1
- Robust geothermal investment decisions under uncertainty: An exploratory financial modeling and analysis approach
  Energy, Vol. 314
- Complex system policy modelling approaches for policy advice – comparing systems thinking, system dynamics and agent-based modelling
  6 August 2024 | Political Research Exchange, Vol. 6, No. 1
- Co-designing transport models as a heuristic planning tool
  13 November 2024 | Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society A: Mathematical, Physical and Engineering Sciences, Vol. 382, No. 2285
- Simulation‐based generation and analysis of multidimensional future scenarios with time series clustering
  9 September 2024 | FUTURES & FORESIGHT SCIENCE, Vol. 6, No. 4
- Informing the Delineation of Input Uncertainty Space in Exploratory Modelling Using a Heuristic Approach
  21 December 2024 | INSIGHT, Vol. 27, No. 6
- Computational model for policy simulation and prediction of the regulatory impact of front-of-package food labels
  15 October 2024 | Discover Food, Vol. 4, No. 1
- Amplifying exploration of regional climate risks: clustering future projections on regionally relevant impact drivers instead of emission scenarios
  27 December 2024 | Environmental Research: Climate, Vol. 3, No. 4
- Exploring cost performance tradeoffs and uncertainties for electric- and autonomous electric trucks using computational experiments
  8 July 2024 | European Transport Research Review, Vol. 16, No. 1
- Contributing to health system resilience during pandemics via purchasing and supply strategies: an exploratory system dynamics approach
  24 January 2024 | BMC Health Services Research, Vol. 24, No. 1
- Bridging the Gap Between Top‐Down and Bottom‐Up Climate Vulnerability Assessments: Process Informed Exploratory Scenarios Identify System‐Based Water Resource Vulnerabilities
  22 November 2024 | Water Resources Research, Vol. 60, No. 11
- Exploring the Spatially Compounding Multi‐Sectoral Drought Vulnerabilities in Colorado's West Slope River Basins
  9 November 2024 | Earth's Future, Vol. 12, No. 11
- Without mandated demand for greenhouse gas removal – High integrity GtCO2-scale global deployment will be jeopardized: Insight from US economic policy 2020–23
  Applied Energy, Vol. 372
- Large Ensemble Exploration of Global Energy Transitions Under National Emissions Pledges
  22 October 2024 | Earth's Future, Vol. 12, No. 10
- An integrated landfill gas-to-energy and Bitcoin mining framework
  Journal of Cleaner Production, Vol. 472
- Scenario Storyline Discovery for Planning in Multi‐Actor Human‐Natural Systems Confronting Change
  19 September 2024 | Earth's Future, Vol. 12, No. 9
- Characterizing Climatic Socio‐Environmental Tipping Points in Coastal Communities: A Conceptual Framework for Research and Practice
  9 July 2024 | Earth's Future, Vol. 12, No. 7
- Addressing uncertainty in Participatory Integrated Assessment: qualitative modeling approach for risk estimation
  16 May 2024 | Regional Environmental Change, Vol. 24, No. 2
- Reinforcement learning for decision-making under deep uncertainty
  Journal of Environmental Management, Vol. 359
- A Framework for Multisector Scenarios of Outcomes for Well‐Being and Resilience
  3 May 2024 | Earth's Future, Vol. 12, No. 5
- statemodify: a Python framework to facilitate accessible exploratory modeling for discovering drought vulnerabilities
  Journal of Open Source Software, Vol. 9, No. 96
- Planning for wastewater infrastructure adaptation under deep uncertainty
  27 March 2024 | Frontiers in Climate, Vol. 6
- Equity and modeling in sustainability science: Examples and opportunities throughout the process
  18 March 2024 | Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, Vol. 121, No. 13
- Iterative urban design and transport simulation using Sketch MATSim
  24 May 2023 | Journal of Urban Design, Vol. 29, No. 2
- Exploratory modelling and analysis to support decision-making under deep uncertainty: A case study from defence resource planning and asset management
  Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Vol. 200
- Ergonomics of spatial configurations: a voxel-based modelling framework for accessibility and visibility simulations
  29 January 2024 | Frontiers in Built Environment, Vol. 9
- Navigating Futures: Scenario Planning in Urban Resilience and Climate Adaptation
  26 July 2024
- UK Net Zero policy design and deep uncertainty – The need for an alternative approach
  Environmental Science & Policy, Vol. 151
- Back to Classics: Developing an Existential Security Scenario Framework for Global Non-Anthropogenic Catastrophes
  1 January 2024 | Connections: The Quarterly Journal, Vol. 23, No. 3
- Optimization with uncertainties: a scheduling example
  30 June 2023 | Central European Journal of Operations Research, Vol. 31, No. 4
- Improving the Representation of Climate Risks in Long-Term Electricity Systems Planning: a Critical Review
  16 August 2023 | Current Sustainable/Renewable Energy Reports, Vol. 10, No. 4
- Exploring potential futures: Evaluating the influence of deep uncertainties in urban planning through scenario planning: A case study in Rome, Italy
  Futures, Vol. 154
- Ecologies of integrated modeling: configuring policy-relevance in Swedish climate governance
  22 September 2023 | Frontiers in Climate, Vol. 5
- Are “wrong” models useful? A qualitative study of discrete event simulation modeller stories
  18 August 2022 | Journal of Simulation, Vol. 17, No. 5
- Beyond engineering: A review of reservoir management through the lens of wickedness, competing objectives and uncertainty
  Environmental Modelling & Software, Vol. 167
- Supporting the planning of urban blue-green infrastructure for biodiversity: A multi-scale prioritisation framework
  Journal of Environmental Management, Vol. 342
- Computational approaches to conflict research from modeling and data to computational diplomacy
  Journal of Computational Science, Vol. 72
- Advancing Regional Water Supply Management and Infrastructure Investment Pathways That Are Equitable, Robust, Adaptive, and Cooperatively Stable
  5 September 2023 | Water Resources Research, Vol. 59, No. 9
- Developing carbon dioxide removal policy and anticipatory perspectives in the United Kingdom and United States
  Energy Research & Social Science, Vol. 102
- Structural model choices regularly overshadow parametric uncertainty in agent-based simulations of household flood risk outcomes
  Computers, Environment and Urban Systems, Vol. 103
- Designing and evaluating robust nature-based solutions for hydro-meteorological risk reduction
  International Journal of Disaster Risk Reduction, Vol. 93
- Climate change scenarios in fisheries and aquatic conservation research
  4 April 2023 | ICES Journal of Marine Science, Vol. 80, No. 5
- Decision making for transformative change: exploring model use, structural uncertainty and deep leverage points for change in decision making under deep uncertainty
  13 June 2023 | Frontiers in Climate, Vol. 5
- Heating greenhouses by light: A novel concept for intensive greenhouse production
  Biosystems Engineering, Vol. 230
- An evaluation method of contribution rate based on fuzzy Bayesian networks for equipment system-of-systems architecture
  Journal of Systems Engineering and Electronics, Vol. 34, No. 3
- Dealing With Uncertainty in Early Health Technology Assessment: An Exploration of Methods for Decision Making Under Deep Uncertainty
  Value in Health, Vol. 26, No. 5
- Water Supply Infrastructure Investments RequireAdaptive Financial Assessment: Evaluation of Coupled Financial and Water Supply Dynamics
  Journal of Water Resources Planning and Management, Vol. 149, No. 3
- A dynamic systems analysis of factors affecting success of identity-preserved products: the case of high-oleic soybeans
  International Food and Agribusiness Management Review, Vol. 26, No. 1
- Engineering Systems in Flux: Designing and Evaluating Interventions in Dynamic Systems
  6 January 2023
- Technical and Social Complexity
  6 January 2023
- Selective Openness in the Additive Manufacturing Industry: An Exploratory Modeling Analysis
  21 December 2023
- A Subjective Bayesian Framework for Synthesizing Deep Uncertainties in Climate Risk Management
  3 January 2023 | Earth's Future, Vol. 11, No. 1
- Chapter 18 : Sector Interactions, Multiple Stressors, and Complex Systems. Fifth National Climate Assessment
- Finding the Balance Between Simplicity and Realism in Participatory Modeling for Environmental Planning
  Environmental Modelling & Software, Vol. 157
- Eight Archetypes of Sustainable Development Goal (SDG) Synergies and Trade‐Offs
  20 September 2022 | Earth's Future, Vol. 10, No. 9
- A Typology for Characterizing Human Action in MultiSector Dynamics Models
  5 August 2022 | Earth's Future, Vol. 10, No. 8
- Uncertainty Analysis in Multi‐Sector Systems: Considerations for Risk Analysis, Projection, and Planning for Complex Systems
  25 August 2022 | Earth's Future, Vol. 10, No. 8
- Drivers of Future Physical Water Scarcity and Its Economic Impacts in Latin America and the Caribbean
  17 August 2022 | Earth's Future, Vol. 10, No. 8
- Equity in Water Resources Planning: A Path Forward for Decision Support Modelers
  Journal of Water Resources Planning and Management, Vol. 148, No. 7
- An Exploratory DEA and Machine Learning Framework for the Evaluation and Analysis of Sustainability Composite Indicators in the EU
  29 June 2022 | Mathematics, Vol. 10, No. 13
- Impacts of future climate on local water supply and demand – A socio-hydrological case study in the Nordic region
  Journal of Hydrology: Regional Studies, Vol. 41
- Diagnostic Framework for Evaluating How Parametric Uncertainty Influences Agro‐Hydrologic Model Projections of Crop Yields Under Climate Change
  26 May 2022 | Water Resources Research, Vol. 58, No. 6
- Polder pumping-station for the future: designing and retrofitting infrastructure systems under structural uncertainty
  17 June 2020 | Sustainable and Resilient Infrastructure, Vol. 7, No. 3
- A new agent-based model provides insight into deep uncertainty faced in simulated forest management
  21 August 2021 | Landscape Ecology, Vol. 37, No. 5
- Tracing Long-term Value Change in (Energy) Technologies: Opportunities of Probabilistic Topic Models Using Large Data Sets
  8 November 2021 | Science, Technology, & Human Values, Vol. 47, No. 3
- Are electricity storage systems in the Netherlands indispensable or doable? Testing single-application electricity storage business models with exploratory agent-based modeling
  Journal of Energy Storage, Vol. 48
- Multisector Dynamics: Advancing the Science of Complex Adaptive Human‐Earth Systems
  2 March 2022 | Earth's Future, Vol. 10, No. 3
- Impact of Inter‐Utility Agreements on Cooperative Regional Water Infrastructure Investment and Management Pathways
  21 March 2022 | Water Resources Research, Vol. 58, No. 3
- Tough enough? Robust satisficing as a decision norm for long-term policy analysis
  23 February 2022 | Synthese, Vol. 200, No. 1
- Power and Pathways: Exploring Robustness, Cooperative Stability, and Power Relationships in Regional Infrastructure Investment and Water Supply Management Portfolio Pathways
  10 February 2022 | Earth's Future, Vol. 10, No. 2
- Plausible 2005–2050 emissions scenarios project between 2 °C and 3 °C of warming by 2100
  11 February 2022 | Environmental Research Letters, Vol. 17, No. 2
- Engineering Systems in Flux
  12 April 2022
- Engineering Systems in Flux: Designing and Evaluating Interventions in Dynamic Systems
  10 May 2022
- Engineering Systems in Flux: Designing and Evaluating Interventions in Dynamic Systems
  31 July 2022
- Technical and Social Complexity
  31 July 2022
- Investigating Model Credibility Within a Model Curation Context
  25 March 2022
- Evaluation of leverage points of the Brazilian football value ecosystem using system dynamics
  1 January 2022 | Gestão & Produção, Vol. 29
- Designing and Evaluating Robust Nature-Based Solutions for Hydro-Meteorological Risk Reduction: An Illistration of Nong Sua District in Thailand
  SSRN Electronic Journal, Vol. 179
- SIC Semper Simulation — Balancing Simplicity and Complexity in Modeling and Analysis
- Agent-based modelling and simulation for circular business model experimentation
  Resources, Conservation & Recycling Advances, Vol. 12
- Evaluating the economic impact of water scarcity in a changing world
  26 March 2021 | Nature Communications, Vol. 12, No. 1
- A novel concurrent approach for multiclass scenario discovery using Multivariate Regression Trees: Exploring spatial inequality patterns in the Vietnam Mekong Delta under uncertainty
  Environmental Modelling & Software, Vol. 145
- A review of systems modelling for local sustainability
  8 November 2021 | Environmental Research Letters, Vol. 16, No. 11
- A Methodology to Evaluate the Safety Prevention and Control System Effectiveness for a Ship Underway
- Testing the Social Bubble Hypothesis on the Early Dynamics of a Scientific Project: The FET Flagship Candidate FuturICT (2010–2013)
  29 September 2021 | Entropy, Vol. 23, No. 10
- Optimal in-store fulfillment policies for online orders in an omni-channel retail environment
  European Journal of Operational Research, Vol. 293, No. 3
- The Implications of Global Change for the Co‐Evolution of Argentina's Integrated Energy‐Water‐Land Systems
  11 August 2021 | Earth's Future, Vol. 9, No. 8
- Combining Business Model Innovation and Model-Based Analysis to Tackle the Deep Uncertainty of Societal Transitions—A Case Study on Industrial Electrification and Power Grid Management
  29 June 2021 | Sustainability, Vol. 13, No. 13
- Reaction: A commentary on Lustick and Tetlock (2021)
  3 April 2021 | FUTURES & FORESIGHT SCIENCE, Vol. 3, No. 2
- An ex ante assessment of value conflicts and social acceptance of sustainable heating systems
  Energy Policy, Vol. 153
- Resilience Assessment Methods
  25 May 2021
- Mutual information analysis of the factors influencing port throughput
  30 December 2020 | Maritime Business Review, Vol. 6, No. 2
- Participatory multi-modelling as the creation of a boundary object ecology: the case of future energy infrastructures in the Rotterdam Port Industrial Cluster
  24 October 2020 | Sustainability Science, Vol. 16, No. 3
- Application of Exploratory Modeling in Support of Transdisciplinary Inquiry: Regulation of Fishing Bycatch of Loggerhead Sea Turtles in Gulf of Ulloa, Mexico
  6 April 2021 | Frontiers in Marine Science, Vol. 8
- Towards robust renewable energy investment decisions at the territorial level
  Applied Energy, Vol. 287
- Small increases in agent-based model complexity can result in large increases in required calibration data
  Environmental Modelling & Software, Vol. 138
- Why Simpler Computer Simulation Models Can Be Epistemically Better for Informing Decisions
  1 January 2022 | Philosophy of Science, Vol. 88, No. 2
- Quantifying Road-Network Robustness toward Flood-Resilient Transportation Systems
  13 March 2021 | Sustainability, Vol. 13, No. 6
- Modelling net-zero emissions energy systems requires a change in approach
  1 October 2020 | Climate Policy, Vol. 21, No. 2
- Exploratory agent-based model to understand migration scenarios: a study from the Indian Himalayan Region, Uttarakhand
  11 September 2020 | Development in Practice, Vol. 31, No. 1
- Engineering Systems in Flux: Designing and Evaluating Interventions in Dynamic Systems
  9 February 2022
- Technical and Social Complexity
  23 November 2021
- The Socialoid: A Computational Model of a City
  16 December 2020
- A Complex-Systems Agenda for Influencing Policy Studies
  3 October 2021
- Analysis of the cognitive demands of electronic health record use
  Journal of Biomedical Informatics, Vol. 113
- Learning Rule-Based Explanatory Models from Exploratory Multi-Simulation for Decision-Support Under Uncertainty
- Putting adaptive planning into practice: A meta-analysis of current applications
  Cities, Vol. 106
- Exploratory modeling for analyzing coupled human-natural systems under uncertainty
  Global Environmental Change, Vol. 65
- Uncertainty-based decision-making in fire safety: Analyzing the alternatives
  Journal of Loss Prevention in the Process Industries, Vol. 68
- Can Exploratory Modeling of Water Scarcity Vulnerabilities and Robustness Be Scenario Neutral?
  13 November 2020 | Earth's Future, Vol. 8, No. 11
- Water pathways: An open source stochastic simulation system for integrated water supply portfolio management and infrastructure investment planning
  Environmental Modelling & Software, Vol. 132
- Advancing Diagnostic Model Evaluation to Better Understand Water Shortage Mechanisms in Institutionally Complex River Basins
  16 October 2020 | Water Resources Research, Vol. 56, No. 10
- Spatial impact of automated driving in urban areas
  6 September 2020 | Journal of Simulation, Vol. 14, No. 4
- Agent‐based modelling for SARS‐CoV ‐2 epidemic prediction and intervention assessment: A methodological appraisal
  21 August 2020 | Journal of Evaluation in Clinical Practice, Vol. 26, No. 5
- Computational Intelligence for Studying Sustainability Challenges: Tools and Methods for Dealing With Deep Uncertainty and Complexity
  17 September 2020 | Frontiers in Robotics and AI, Vol. 7
- Strengthening ‘good’ modelling practices in robust decision support: A reporting guideline for combining multiple model-based methods
  Mathematics and Computers in Simulation, Vol. 175
- Risk-Based Vulnerability Analysis of Deteriorating Coastal Bridges under Hurricanes Considering Deep Uncertainty of Climatic and Socioeconomic Changes
  ASCE-ASME Journal of Risk and Uncertainty in Engineering Systems, Part A: Civil Engineering, Vol. 6, No. 3
- Inspection of Biomimicry Approaches as an Alternative to Address Climate-Related Energy Building Challenges: A Framework for Application in Panama
  24 August 2020 | Biomimetics, Vol. 5, No. 3
- Meeting Climate, Mobility, and Equity Goals in Transportation Planning Under Wide-Ranging Scenarios
  1 April 2020 | Journal of the American Planning Association, Vol. 86, No. 3
- A methodology for modeling sociotechnical systems to facilitate exploratory policy analysis
  22 February 2020 | Systems Engineering, Vol. 23, No. 4
- A spatial planning-support system for generating decentralised urban stormwater management schemes
  Science of The Total Environment, Vol. 726
- Behavior-based scenario discovery using time series clustering
  Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Vol. 156
- Defining Robustness, Vulnerabilities, and Consequential Scenarios for Diverse Stakeholder Interests in Institutionally Complex River Basins
  13 July 2020 | Earth's Future, Vol. 8, No. 7
- Participatory modeling for transition governance: Linking methods to process phases
  Environmental Innovation and Societal Transitions, Vol. 35
- Making policy mixes more robust: An integrative and interdisciplinary approach for clean energy transitions
  Energy Research & Social Science, Vol. 64
- Conflicted by decarbonisation: Five types of conflict at the nexus of capabilities and decentralised energy systems identified with an agent-based model
  Energy Research & Social Science, Vol. 64
- Recalibrating the Belt and Road Initiative amidst deep uncertainties
  7 December 2021 | Journal of Mega Infrastructure & Sustainable Development, Vol. 2, No. 1
- Bridging Decision Making under Deep Uncertainty (DMDU) and Transition Management (TM) to improve strategic planning for sustainable development
  Environmental Science & Policy, Vol. 107
- On considering robustness in the search phase of Robust Decision Making: A comparison of Many-Objective Robust Decision Making, multi-scenario Many-Objective Robust Decision Making, and Many Objective Robust Optimization
  Environmental Modelling & Software, Vol. 127
- An Exploratory Agent-Based Modeling Analysis Approach to Test Business Models for Electricity Storage
  2 April 2020 | Energies, Vol. 13, No. 7
- When and why does transition fail? A model-based identification of adoption barriers and policy vulnerabilities for transition to natural gas vehicles
  Energy Policy, Vol. 138
- Resilience planning in hazards-humans-infrastructure nexus: A multi-agent simulation for exploratory assessment of coastal water supply infrastructure adaptation to sea-level rise
  Environmental Modelling & Software, Vol. 125
- Impact of Uncertainty Parameter Distribution on Robust Decision Making Outcomes for Climate Change Adaptation under Deep Uncertainty
  3 October 2019 | Risk Analysis, Vol. 40, No. 3
- Navigating Deeply Uncertain Tradeoffs in Harvested Predator-Prey Systems
  Complexity, Vol. 2020
- Designing robust policies under deep uncertainty for mitigating epidemics
  Computers & Industrial Engineering, Vol. 140
- Robust decision making and Epoch–Era analysis: A comparison of two robustness frameworks for decision-making under uncertainty
  Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Vol. 151
- Rhodium: Python Library for Many-Objective Robust Decision Making and Exploratory Modeling
  9 June 2020 | Journal of Open Research Software, Vol. 8, No. 1
- Formulation of BCG Index (BCGI): An empirical study on Wal-Mart and Amazon (1999 – 2018)
  8 January 2020 | Journal of Transnational Management, Vol. 25, No. 1
- Structuring and evaluating decision support processes to enhance the robustness of complex human–natural systems
  Environmental Modelling & Software, Vol. 123
- A Methodology to Evaluate the Effectiveness of Intelligent Ship Navigational Information Monitoring System
  IEEE Access, Vol. 8
- Concept development for comprehensive operations support with modeling and simulation
  20 November 2018 | The Journal of Defense Modeling and Simulation: Applications, Methodology, Technology, Vol. 17, No. 1
- System Dynamics and Learning Scenarios for Process Improvement and Regional Resilience: A Study in The Footwear Industry of Southern Brazil
  23 February 2019 | Systemic Practice and Action Research, Vol. 32, No. 6
- Deeply uncertain pathways: Integrated multi-city regional water supply infrastructure investment and portfolio management
  Advances in Water Resources, Vol. 134
- Active learning metamodeling for policy analysis: Application to an emergency medical service simulator
  Simulation Modelling Practice and Theory, Vol. 97
- Resilience of Water Resource Systems: Lessons from England
  Water Security, Vol. 8
- Models as scenario tools for developing robust transformative plans
- Exploratory modelling of transitions
- Coping with uncertainties of sustainability transitions using exploratory modelling: The case of the MATISSE model and the UK's mobility sector
  Environmental Innovation and Societal Transitions, Vol. 33
- Identifying Actionable Compromises: Navigating Multi‐City Robustness Conflicts to Discover Cooperative Safe Operating Spaces for Regional Water Supply Portfolios
  13 November 2019 | Water Resources Research, Vol. 55, No. 11
- Contemporary Decision Methods for Agricultural, Environmental, and Resource Management and Policy
  Annual Review of Resource Economics, Vol. 11, No. 1
- Existing Accessible Modeling Tools Offer Limited Support to Evaluation of Impact Investment in Rangeland Ecosystem Services
  24 September 2019 | Frontiers in Sustainable Food Systems, Vol. 3
- Robust decision making and scenario discovery in the absence of formal models
  10 September 2019 | FUTURES & FORESIGHT SCIENCE, Vol. 1, No. 3-4
- Leveraging system sciences methods in clinical trial evaluation: An example concerning African American women diagnosed with breast cancer via the Patient Navigation in Medically Underserved Areas study
  Contemporary Clinical Trials Communications, Vol. 15
- Modelling approach for crafting environmental regulations under deep uncertainty: Whale watching in Ojo de liebre, Mexico
  Ecological Modelling, Vol. 408
- Sustainable groundwater management: How long and what will it take?
  Global Environmental Change, Vol. 58
- Exploratory Modeling and Analysis for Transportation: An Approach and Support Tool - TMIP-EMAT
  8 May 2019 | Transportation Research Record: Journal of the Transportation Research Board, Vol. 2673, No. 9
- A framework for characterising and evaluating the effectiveness of environmental modelling
  Environmental Modelling & Software, Vol. 118
- Comparing Implications of ‘Robustness’ and ‘Optimality’ for Decision Support under Uncertainty
  27 September 2019 | INCOSE International Symposium, Vol. 29, No. 1
- Yardım malzemesi dağıtım operasyonlarının simülasyon ile analizi
  25 June 2019 | Gazi Üniversitesi Mühendislik Mimarlık Fakültesi Dergisi, Vol. 34, No. 4
- Participatory planning of the future of waste management in small island developing states to deliver on the Sustainable Development Goals
  Journal of Cleaner Production, Vol. 223
- Multivariate simulation modelling for adaptive long-term infrastructure planning
  Infrastructure Asset Management, Vol. 6, No. 2
- A review of catchment-scale water quality and erosion models and a synthesis of future prospects
  Environmental Modelling & Software, Vol. 114
- An agent-based modeling approach to project adoption of water reuse and evaluate expansion plans within a sociotechnical water infrastructure system
  Sustainable Cities and Society, Vol. 46
- How to evaluate a monitoring system for adaptive policies: criteria for signposts selection and their model-based evaluation
  21 January 2019 | Climatic Change, Vol. 153, No. 1-2
- Assessing the Capacity of Adaptive Policy Pathways to Adapt on Time by Mapping Trigger Values to Their Outcomes
  21 March 2019 | Sustainability, Vol. 11, No. 6
- Innovation system policy analysis through system dynamics modelling: A systematic review
  6 April 2018 | Science and Public Policy, Vol. 46, No. 1
- Introduction
  5 April 2019
- Supporting DMDU: A Taxonomy of Approaches and Tools
  5 April 2019
- Robust Decision Making (RDM)
  5 April 2019
- Dynamic Adaptive Planning (DAP): The Case of Intelligent Speed Adaptation
  5 April 2019
- Sustainable Logistics and Transportation Systems: Integrating Optimization and Simulation Analysis to Enhance Strategic Supply Chain Decision-Making
  27 February 2019
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Volume 41, Issue 3

May-June 1993

Pages 432-619

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Published Online:June 01, 1993

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Steve Bankes, (1993) Exploratory Modeling for Policy Analysis. Operations Research 41(3):435-449.

https://doi.org/10.1287/opre.41.3.435

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Exploratory Modeling for Policy Analysis

Volume 41, Issue 3

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