Multiple Experts vs. Multiple Methods: Combining Correlation Assessments

References

• Ariely D., Au W. T., Bender R. H., Budescu D. V., Dietz C. B., Gu H., Wallsten T. S., Zauberman G. The effects of averaging subjective probability estimates between and within judges. J. Experiment. Psych.: Appl. (2000) 6:130–147Crossref, Google Scholar
• Brown R. V., Lindley D. V. Plural analysis: Multiple approaches to quantitative research. Theory Decision (1986) 20:133–154Crossref, Google Scholar
• Clemen R. T. Combining forecasts: A review and annotated bibliography. Internat. J. Forecasting (1989) 5:559–583Crossref, Google Scholar
• Clemen R. T., Winkler R. L. Limits for precision and value of information from dependent sources. Oper. Res. (1985) 33:427–442Link, Google Scholar
• Clemen R. T., Winkler R. L. Combining economic forecasts. J. Bus. Econom. Statist. (1986) 4:39–46Crossref, Google Scholar
• Clemen R. T., Winkler R. L. Combining probability distributions from experts in risk analysis. Risk Anal. (1999) 19:187–203Crossref, Google Scholar
• Clemen R. T., Fischer G. W., Winkler R. L. Assessing dependence: Some experimental results. Management Sci. (2000) 46:1100–1115Link, Google Scholar
• Dewispelare A., Herren L., Clemen R. T. The use of probability elicitation for high-level nuclear waste regulation. Internat. J. Forecasting (1995) 11:5–24Crossref, Google Scholar
• Kleinmuntz D. N., Hogarth R. M. Decomposition and the control of error in decision-analytic models. Insights in Decision Making: A Tribute to Hillel J. Einhorn (1990) (University of Chicago Press, Chicago, IL) 107–126Google Scholar
• Lindley D. V. The reconciliation of decision analyses. Oper. Res. (1986) 34:289–295Link, Google Scholar
• Makridakis S., Winkler R. L. Averages of forecasts: Some empirical results. Management Sci. (1983) 29:987–996Link, Google Scholar
• Morgan M. G., Keith D. W. Subjective judgments by climate experts. Environ. Sci. Tech. (1995) 29:468A–476AGoogle Scholar
• Ravinder H. V., Kleinmuntz D. N., Dyer J. S. The reliability of subjective probabilities obtained through decomposition. Management Sci. (1988) 34:186–199Link, Google Scholar
• Soll J. B. Intuitive theories of information: Belief about the value of redundancy. Cognitive Psych. (1999) 38:317–346Crossref, Google Scholar
• von Winterfeldt D., Edwards W.Decision Analysis and Behavioral Research (1986) (Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, U.K.) Google Scholar
• Winkler R. L. Combining probability distributions from dependent information sources. Management Sci. (1981) 27:479–488Link, Google Scholar
• Winkler R. L. Scoring rules and the evaluation of probabilities. Test (1996) 5:1–60Crossref, Google Scholar