Experts' Stated Behavior

Published Online:https://doi.org/10.1287/inte.1080.0421

References

  • Armstrong J. S., Collopy F., Wright G., Goodwin P. Integration of statistical methods and judgement for time series forecasting: Principles for empirical research. Forecasting with Judgement (1998) (John Wiley & Sons, New York) 269–293Google Scholar
  • Fildes R., Goodwin P. Against your better judgement? How organizations can improve their use of management judgement in forecasting. Interfaces (2007) 37(6):570–576LinkGoogle Scholar
  • Franses P. H. Do we think we make better forecasts than in the past? A survey of academics. Interfaces (2004) 34(6):466–468LinkGoogle Scholar
  • Franses P. H. Merging models and experts. Internat. J. Forecasting (2008) 24(1):31–33CrossrefGoogle Scholar
  • Gönül M. S., Önkal D., Lawrence M. The effects of structural characteristics of explanations on use of a DSS. Decision Support Systems (2006) 42(3):1481–1493CrossrefGoogle Scholar
  • Goodwin P. Integrating management judgment with statistical methods to improve short-term forecasts. Omega (2002) 30(2):127–135CrossrefGoogle Scholar
  • Goodwin P., Fildes R. Judgmental forecasts of time series affected by special events: Does providing a statistical forecast improve accuracy? J. Behav. Decision Making (1999) 12(1):37–53CrossrefGoogle Scholar
  • Harvey N. Why are judgements less consistent in less predictable task situations? Organ. Behav. Human Decision Processes (1995) 63(3):247–263CrossrefGoogle Scholar
  • Klassen D., Flores B. E. Forecasting practices of Canadian firms: Survey results and comparisons. Internat. J. Production Econom. (2001) 70(2):163–174CrossrefGoogle Scholar
  • Mathews B. P., Diamantopoulos A. Managerial intervention in forecasting: An empirical investigation of forecast manipulation. Internat. J. Res. Marketing (1986) 3(1):3–10CrossrefGoogle Scholar
  • Sanders N., Manrodt K. B. Forecasting practices in US corporations: Survey results. Interfaces (1994) 24(2):92–100LinkGoogle Scholar
  • Sanders N., Ritzman L., Armstrong J. S. Judgemental adjustments of statistical forecasts. Principles of Forecasting (2001) (Kluwer, New York) 405–416CrossrefGoogle Scholar
  • Syntetos A. A., Nikolopoulos K., Boylan J. E., Fildes R., Goodwin P. The effects of integrating management judgement into intermittent demand forecasts. Internat. J. Production Econom. (2009) 118(1):72–81CrossrefGoogle Scholar
  • Yaniv I., Kleinberger E. Advice taking in decision making: Egocentric discounting and reputation formation. Organ. Behav. Human Decision Processes (2000) 83(2):260–281CrossrefGoogle Scholar
INFORMS site uses cookies to store information on your computer. Some are essential to make our site work; Others help us improve the user experience. By using this site, you consent to the placement of these cookies. Please read our Privacy Statement to learn more.