On Uncertainty, Ambiguity, and Complexity in Project Management
Published Online:1 Aug 2002https://doi.org/10.1287/mnsc.48.8.1008.163
References
- Parallel and sequential R&D strategies: Application of a simple model. IEEE Trans. Engrg. Management (1968) EM-15(1):2–10Crossref, Google Scholar
- Integrating planning, execution and monitoring. Proc. Seventh National Conf. Artificial Intelligence (1988) AAAI-88:735–740Google Scholar
- Beauty is in the eye of the beholder: Establishing a fair and equitable value for embryonic high-tech enterprises. Venture Capital J. (2000) 40(12):33–34Google Scholar
- Managing new product definition in highly dynamic environments. Management Sci. (1998) 44:S50–S64Link, Google Scholar
- Resource-constrained project scheduling: Notation, classification, models and methods. Eur. J. Oper. Res. (1999) 112(1):3–41Crossref, Google Scholar
- Using the design structure matrix to estimate product development time. Proc. DETC'98, 1998 ASME Design Engrg. Tech. Conf. (1998) Google Scholar
- A risk engineering approach to project risk management. Internat. J. Project Management (1990) 8:5–16Crossref, Google Scholar
- PERT vs. GERT. J. Systems Management (1972) February):11–19Google Scholar
- Making Hard Decisions (1996) 2nd ed.(Duxbury Press, Belmont, MA) Google Scholar
- Army RTDE funding, planning and management: Total risk assessing cost estimate (TRACE) concept. Army Res. Development and Acquisition Magazine (1979) July):24–26Google Scholar
- Effective Risk Management: Some Keys to Success (2000) (American Institute of Aeronautics and Astronautics, Reston, VA) Google Scholar
- Risk Analysis for Large Projects: Models, Methods and Cases (1987) (John Wiley & Sons, New York) Google Scholar
- Third-generation new product processes. J. Product Innovation Management (1994) 11:3–14Crossref, Google Scholar
- The beanbag lives on. Nature (2001) 409(15Google Scholar
- Managing project uncertainty. Sloan Management Rev. (2002) 43(2):60–68Google Scholar
- DSMCRisk Management Guide for DoD Acquisitions (1998) (Defense Systems Management College Press, Fort Belvoir, VA) Google Scholar
- In search of project classification: A non-universal approach to project success factors. Res. Policy (1998) 27:915–935Crossref, Google Scholar
- A Universe of Consciousness (2000) (Basic Books, New York) Google Scholar
- Accelerating adaptive processes: Product innovation in the global computer industry. Admin. Sci. Quart. (1995) 40:84–110Crossref, Google Scholar
- An algebra for the analysis of generalized activity networks. Management Sci. (1964) 10:494–514Link, Google Scholar
- A generalized network approach to the planning and scheduling of a research program. Oper. Res. (1962) 10:115–125Link, Google Scholar
- Bounding the probability of success of stochastic methods for global optimization. Comput. Math. Appl. (1993) 25:1–8Crossref, Google Scholar
- Learning and executing generalized robot plans. Artificial Intelligence (1972) 3(4):251–288Crossref, Google Scholar
- Random restarting versus simulated annealing. Comput. Math. Appl. (1993) 27:33–35Crossref, Google Scholar
- Integrating and accelerating tabu search. Ann. Oper. Res. (1994) 41:47–67Crossref, Google Scholar
- Critical Chain (1997) (North River Press, New York) Google Scholar
- Parkinson's Law and its implications for project management. Management Sci. (1991) 37:990–1001Link, Google Scholar
- Competing for the Future (1994) (Harvard Business School Press, Boston, MA) Google Scholar
- Stochastic Models in Operations Research (1984) II(McGraw Hill, New York) Google Scholar
- Developing products on Internet time. Harvard Bus. Rev. (1997) 75(5):108–117Google Scholar
- Performance results for generalized hill-climbing algorithms. (1998) . Working paper, INSEAD, FranceGoogle Scholar
- The Origins of Order (1993) (Oxford University Press, Oxford, U.K) Crossref, Google Scholar
- . Analysis of Potential Problems (1992) . Company brochure (in German)Google Scholar
- Critical chain project management improves project performance. Project Management J. (1999) 30(4):39–51Google Scholar
- Wellsprings of Knowledge (1995) (Harvard Business School Press, Boston, MA) Google Scholar
- Parallel and sequential testing of design alternatives. Management Sci. (2001) 47(5):663–678Link, Google Scholar
- An Introduction to Critical Path Analysis (1969) (Pitman and Sons, London, U.K) Google Scholar
- A survey of algorithmic methods for partially observed Markov decision processes. Ann. Oper. Res. (1991) 28(1–4):47–66Crossref, Google Scholar
- A computational study on bounding the makespan distribution in stochastic project networks. (1998) . Technical Report 609-1998, Technical University, Berlin, GermanyGoogle Scholar
- Marketing and discontinuous innovation: The probe-and-learn process. California Management Rev. (1996) 38(3):8–36Crossref, Google Scholar
- Learning is the critical success factor in developing truly new products. Res. Tech. Management (1998) 41(3):45–51Google Scholar
- Learning from samples of one or fewer. Organ. Sci. (1991) 2:1–13Link, Google Scholar
- On the edge: Heeding the warnings of unusual events. Organ. Sci. (1999) 10:482–499Link, Google Scholar
- Economic Theory of Teams (1972) (Yale University Press, New Haven, CT) Google Scholar
- Portfolio approach to information systems. Harvard Bus. Rev. (1981) 59(5Google Scholar
- Project Management—A Managerial Approach (1995) 3rd ed.(John Wiley and Sons, New York) Google Scholar
- The Lever of Riches (1990) (Oxford University Press, Oxford, U.K) Google Scholar
- The Anatomy of Major Projects (1987) (Wiley, Chichester, U.K) Google Scholar
- The nature of market visioning for technology-based radical innovation. J. Product Innovation Management (2001) 18:231–246Crossref, Google Scholar
- Deferred planning and sensor use. Proceedings, DARPA Workshop on Innovative Approaches to Planning, Scheduling, and Control (1990) (Defense Advanced Research Projects Agency, San Diego, CA) Google Scholar
- Learning, change and evolution: An enquiry into the teleonomy of learning. Adv. Stud. Behavior (1979) 10:1–41Crossref, Google Scholar
- Darwin Machines and the Nature of Knowledge (1993) (Harvard University Press, Cambridge, MA) Google Scholar
- . GERT: Graphical evaluation and review technique. (1966) . Memorandum RM-4973-NASA, The Rand Corporation, Santa MonicaGoogle Scholar
- Management Decision Making: A Network Simulation Approach (1983) (Prentice Hall, Inc, Englewood Cliffs, NJ) Google Scholar
- Project Management Institute Standards CommitteeA Guide to the Project Management Body of Knowledge (2000) . (PMBOKTMGuide). Project Management Institute, Upper Darby, PAGoogle Scholar
- Artificial Intelligence: A Modern Approach (1995) (Prentice Hall, Englewood Cliffs, NJ) Google Scholar
- Insights from the venture capital model of project governance. Bus. Econom. (1994) 29(3):35–41Google Scholar
- Choice over uncertainty and ambiguity in technical problem solving. J. Engrg. Tech. Management (1993) 10:73–99Crossref, Google Scholar
- The Art of the Long View (1991) (Doubleday, New York) Google Scholar
- Toward a typological theory of project management. Res. Policy (1996) 25:607–632Crossref, Google Scholar
- The Science of the Artificial (1969) 2nd ed.(MIT Press, Boston, MA) Google Scholar
- Origins of Genius: Darwinian Perspectives on Creativity (1999) (Oxford University Press, Oxford, U.K) Google Scholar
- A predictive model of sequential iteration in engineering design. Management Sci. (1997) 43(8):1104–1120Link, Google Scholar
- Toyota's principles of setbased concurrent engineering. Sloan Management Rev. (1999) 40:67–83Google Scholar
- Integrated product design for marketability and manufacturing. J. Marketing Res. (1997) 34:154–163Crossref, Google Scholar
- Japan's dark side of time. Harvard Bus. Rev. (1993) 71(4):93–102Google Scholar
- Behavior in escalation situations: Antecedents, prototypes, and solutions. Res. Organ. Behavior (1987) 9:39–78Google Scholar
- The design structure matrix: A method for managing the design of complex systems. IEEE Trans. Engrg. Management (1981) EM-28(3Crossref, Google Scholar
- Technology novelty, project complexity, and product development execution success. IEEE Trans. Engrg. Management (2000) 47:74–87Crossref, Google Scholar
- R&D project planning with Q-GERT network modeling and simulation. Management Sci. (1980) 15:44–59Link, Google Scholar
- Managing experimentation in the design of new products. Management Sci. (1998) 44(6):743–762Link, Google Scholar
- Agile product development: Managing development flexibility in uncertain environments. California Management Rev. (1998) 41:8–30Crossref, Google Scholar
- Planned flexibility: Linking anticipation and reaction product development projects. J. Product Innovation Management (1999) 16:363–376Crossref, Google Scholar
- Discontinuous innovation and the new product development process. J. Product Innovation Management (1998) 15:304–321Crossref, Google Scholar
- Generating conditional plans and programs. Proc. AISB Summer Conf. (1976) 344–354Google Scholar
- Planning and learning together. Proc. Internat. Conf. Autonomous Agents (2000) Barcelona, Spain:102–103Google Scholar
- Project & Program Risk Management (1992) (Project Management Institute, Newton Square, PA) Google Scholar
- The need for new paradigms for complex projects. Internat. J. Project Management (1999) 17(5):269–273Crossref, Google Scholar
- A classified bibliography of recent research relating to project risk management. Eur. J. Oper. Res. (1995) 85:18–38Crossref, Google Scholar

