Modeling Influenza Pandemic and Planning Food Distribution

References

• American Red Cross (2006) Pandemic influenza preparedness and response plan (draft). Metropolitan Atlanta Chapter, American Red Cross, Atlanta.Google Scholar
• American Red Cross (2008) Food planning for pandemic flu project plan (draft). Metropolitan Atlanta Chapter, American Red Cross, Altanta.Google Scholar
• Ballou RH (1968) Dynamic warehouse location analysis. J. Marketing Res. 5(3):271–276.Crossref, Google Scholar
• Bass FM (1969) A new product growth model for consumer durables. Management Sci. 15(5):215–227.Link, Google Scholar
• Canel C, Khumawala BM, Law J, Loh A (2001) An algorithm for the capacitated, multi-commodity multi-period facility location problem. Comput. Oper. Res. 28(5):411–427.Crossref, Google Scholar
• Carrat F, Pelat C, Levy-Bruhl D, Bonmarin I, Lapidus N (2010) Planning for the next influenza H1N1 season: A modelling study. BMC Infectious Diseases 10:301.Crossref, Google Scholar
• Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (2012) First H3N2 variant virus infection reported for 2012. Accessed August 30, 2012, http://www.cdc.gov/flu/spotlights/h3n2v-variant-utah.htm.Google Scholar
• Chan M (2009) World now at the start of 2009 influenza pandemic. Statement to the press by WHO Director-General Dr. Margaret Chan, June 11, 2009. http://www.who.int/mediacentre/news/statements/2009/h1n1_pandemic_phase6_20090611/en/.Google Scholar
• Chin TDY, Foley JF, Doto IL, Gravelle CR, Weston J (1960) Morbidity and mortality characteristics of Asian strain influenza. Public Health Rep. 75(2):149–158.Crossref, Google Scholar
• Cooper L (1964) Heuristic methods for location-allocation problems. SIAM Rev. 6(1):37–53.Crossref, Google Scholar
• Culler L, Keller H (2010) Resident interactions at mealtime: An exploratory study. Eur. J. Ageing 7(3):189–200.Crossref, Google Scholar
• Dimitrov NB, Goll S, Hupert N, Pourbohloul B, Meyers LA (2011) Optimizing tactics for use of the U.S. antiviral strategic national stockpile for pandemic influenza. PLoS ONE 6(1):e16094.Crossref, Google Scholar
• Erlenkotter D (1981) A comparative study of approaches to dynamic location problems. Eur. J. Oper. Res. 6(2):133–143.Crossref, Google Scholar
• Feldman E, Lehrer FA, Ray TL (1966) Warehouse location under continuous economies of scale. Management Sci. 12(9):670–684.Link, Google Scholar
• Ferguson NM, Cummings DAT, Fraser C, Cajka JC, Cooley PC, Burke DS (2006) Strategies for mitigating an influenza pandemic. Nature 442(7101):448–452.Crossref, Google Scholar
• Ferguson NM, Keeling MJ, Edmunds WJ, Gani R, Grenfell BT, Anderson RM, Leach S (2003) Planning for smallpox outbreaks. Nature 425(6959):681–685.Crossref, Google Scholar
• Ferguson NM, Cummings DAT, Cauchemez S, Fraser C, Riley S, Meeyai A, Iamsirithaworn S, Burke DS (2005) Strategies for containing an emerging influenza pandemic in Southeast Asia. Nature 437(7056):209–214.Crossref, Google Scholar
• Flahault A, Vergu E, Coudeville L, Grais RF (2006) Strategies for containing a global influenza pandemic. Vaccine 24(44–46): 6751–6755.Crossref, Google Scholar
• Fung IC-H, Antia R, Handel A (2012) How to minimize the attack rate during multiple influenza outbreaks in a heterogeneous population. PLoS ONE 7(6):e36573.Crossref, Google Scholar
• Gale J (2008) Flu pandemic may cost world economy up to $3 trillion. Accessed September 30, 2012, http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=newsarchive&sid=ashmCPWATNwU.Google Scholar
• Geoffrion AM, Graves GW (1974) Multicommodity distribution system design by Benders decomposition. Management Sci. 20(5):822–844.Link, Google Scholar
• Germann TC, Kadau K, Longini IM, Macken CA (2006) Mitigation strategies for pandemic influenza in the United States. Proc. Natl. Acad. Sci. USA 103(15):5935–5940.Crossref, Google Scholar
• Grais RF, Ellis JH, Glass GE (2003) Assessing the impact of airline travel on the geographic spread of pandemic influenza. Eur. J. Epidemiology 18(11):1065–1072.Crossref, Google Scholar
• Hansen E, Day T (2011) Optimal antiviral treatment strategies and the effects of resistance. Proc. Roy. Soc. B 278(1708):1082–1089.Crossref, Google Scholar
• Harmon K (2011) What will the next influenza pandemic look like? Scientific American (September 19), http://www.scientificamerican.com/article.cfm?id=next-influenza-pandemic&page=3.Google Scholar
• Heesterbeek JAP (2002) A brief history of R0 and a recipe for its calculation. Acta Biotheoretica 50(3):189–204.Crossref, Google Scholar
• Hindi KS, Basta T (1994) Computationally efficient solution of a multiproduct, two-stage distribution-location problem. J. Oper. Res. Soc. 45(11):1316–1323.Google Scholar
• Hinojosa Y, Puerto J, Fernández FR (2000) A multiperiod two-echelon multicommodity capacitated plant location problem. Eur. J. Oper. Res. 123(2):271–291.Crossref, Google Scholar
• Holmes EC, Taubenberger JK, Grenfell BT (2005) Heading off an influenza pandemic. Science 309(5737):989.Crossref, Google Scholar
• Homeland Security Council (2007) National strategy for pandemic influenza: Implementation plan—One year summary, July 2007. http://www.flu.gov/planning-preparedness/federal/pandemic-influenza-oneyear.pdf.Google Scholar
• Hormozi AM, Khumawala BM (1996) An improved algorithm for solving a multiperiod facility location problem. IIE Trans. 28(2):105–114.Crossref, Google Scholar
• Jacquez JA (1972) Compartmental Analysis in Biology and Medicine: Kinetics of Distribution of Tracer-Labelled Materials (Elsevier, Amsterdam).Google Scholar
• Kuehn AA, Hamburger M (1963) A heuristic program for locating warehouses. Management Sci. 9(4):643–666.Link, Google Scholar
• Lam EHY, Cowling BJ, Cook AR, Wong JYT, Lau MSY, Nishiura H (2011) The feasibility of age-specific travel restrictions during influenza pandemics. Theoret. Biol. Medical Model. 8(1):44–57.Crossref, Google Scholar
• Larson RC (2007) Simple models of influenza progression within a heterogeneous population. Oper. Res. 55(3):399–412.Link, Google Scholar
• Lee BY, Brown ST, Korch GW, Cooley PC, Zimmerman RK, Wheaton WD, Zimmer SMet al. (2010) A computer simulation of vaccine prioritization, allocation, and rationing during the 2009 H1N1 influenza pandemic. Vaccine 28(31):4875–4879.Crossref, Google Scholar
• Lipsitch M, Cohen T, Cooper B, Robins JM, Ma S, James L, Gopalakrishna Get al. (2003) Transmission dynamics and control of severe acute respiratory syndrome. Science 300(5627):1966–1970.Crossref, Google Scholar
• Longini IM, Nizam A, Xu S, Ungchusak K, Hanshaoworakul W, Cummings DA, Halloran ME (2005) Containing pandemic influenza at the source. Science 309(5737):1083–1087.Crossref, Google Scholar
• Mills CE, Robins JM, Lipsitch M (2004) Transmissibility of 1918 pandemic influenza. Nature 432(7019):904–906.Crossref, Google Scholar
• Morse SS, Garwin RL, Olsiewski PJ (2006) Next flu pandemic: What to do until the vaccine arrives? Science 314(5801):929.Crossref, Google Scholar
• Narula SC, Ogbu UI (1979) An hierarchical location-allocation problem. Omega 7(2):137–143.Crossref, Google Scholar
• Ohio Department of Health and Ohio Food Industry Foundation (2006) Pandemic influenza preparedness guide for retail food establishments. Ohio Department of Health and Ohio Food Industry Foundation, Columbus.Google Scholar
• Patel R, Longini IM, Halloran ME (2005) Finding optimal vaccination strategies for pandemic influenza using genetic algorithms. J. Theoret. Biol. 234(2):201–212.Crossref, Google Scholar
• Rahmandad H, Sterman J (2008) Heterogeneity and network structure in the dynamics of diffusion: Comparing agent-based and differential equation models. Management Sci. 54(5):998–1014.Link, Google Scholar
• Robelen EW (2009) Swine flu disruption has school officials looking for lessons. Ed. Week 28(31):12.Google Scholar
• Rvachev L, Longini IM (1985) A mathematical model for the global spread of influenza. Math. Biosciences 75(1):3–22.Crossref, Google Scholar
• Shi P, Keskinocak P, Swann J, Lee B (2010) Modeling seasonality and viral mutation to predict the course of an influenza pandemic. Epidemiology Infection 138(10):1472–1481.Crossref, Google Scholar
• Shulman A (1991) An algorithm for solving dynamic capacitated plant location. Oper. Res. 39(3):423–436.Link, Google Scholar
• Smith DJ (2006) Predictability and preparedness in influenza control. Science 312(5772):392–394.Crossref, Google Scholar
• Sweeney DJ, Tatham RL (1976) An improved long run model for multiple warehouse location. Management Sci. 22(7):748–758.Link, Google Scholar
• Trust for America's Health (2009) Pandemic flu preparedness: Lessons from the frontlines. Accessed May 30, 2009, http://healthyamericans.org/assets/files/pandemic-flu-lesson.pdf.Google Scholar
• U.S. Census Bureau (2000) Census 2000 gateway. Accessed November 30, 2008, http://www.census.gov/main/www/cen2000.html.Google Scholar
• Van Roy TJ, Erlenkotter D (1982) A dual-based procedure for dynamic facility location. Management Sci. 28(10):1091–1105.Link, Google Scholar
• Viboud C, Grais RF, Lafont BA, Miller MA, Simonsen L, for the Multinational Influenza Seasonal Mortality Study Group (2005) Multinational impact of the 1968 Hong Kong influenza pandemic: Evidence for a smoldering pandemic. J. Infectious Diseases 192(2):233–248.Crossref, Google Scholar
• Viboud C, Bolle P, Cauchemez S, Lavenu A, Valleron A, Flahault A, Carrat F (2004) Risk factors of influenza transmission in households. British J. General Practice 54(506):684–689.Google Scholar
• Wallinga J, Teunis P, Kretzschmar M (2006) Using data on social contacts to estimate age-specific transmission parameters for respiratory-spread infectious agents. Amer. J. Epidemiology 164(10):936–944.Crossref, Google Scholar
• World Health Organization (2005) Avian influenza: Assessing the pandemic threat. Accessed November 30, 2008, http://whqlibdoc.who.int/hq/2005/WHO_CDS_2005.29.pdf.Google Scholar
• World Health Organization (2012) Global alert and response. Accessed August 30, 2012, http://apps.who.int/csr/disease/influenza/pandemic/en/index.html.Google Scholar
• World Health Organization Writing Group (2006) Nonpharmaceutical interventions for pandemic influenza, national and community measures. Emerging Infectious Diseases 12(1):88–94.Crossref, Google Scholar
• Wu JT, Riley S, Fraser C, Leung GM (2006) Reducing the impact of the next influenza pandemic using household-based public health interventions. PLoS Medicine 3(9):1532–1540.Crossref, Google Scholar