A Mathematical Model of Humanitarian Aid Agencies in Attritional Conflict Environments
Published Online:29 Jul 2021https://doi.org/10.1287/opre.2021.2130
References
- (2005) A stochastic salvo model for naval surface combat. Oper. Res. 53(5):830–841.Link, Google Scholar
- (2012) When do armed revolts succeed: Lessons from Lanchester theory. J. Oper. Res. Soc. 63(10):1363–1373.Crossref, Google Scholar
- Australian Agency for International Development (2011) Humanitarian Action Policy (Commonwealth of Australia, Canberra).Google Scholar
- (2004) Interaction strengths in food webs: Issues and opportunities. J. Animal Ecology 73(3):585–598.Crossref, Google Scholar
- (2007) Military fatality rates (by cause) in Afghanistan and Iraq: a measure of hostilities. Internat. J. Epidemiology 36(4):841–846.Crossref, Google Scholar
- (2001) Mathematical Models in Population Biology and Epidemiology, vol. 40 (Springer).Crossref, Google Scholar
- (2008) Complex food webs prevent competitive exclusion among producer species. Proc. Roy. Soc. B: Biological Sci. 275(1650):2507–2514.Google Scholar
- (2018) Losing by “winning”: America’s wars in Afghanistan, Iraq, and Syria. Accessed June 17, 2019, https://www.csis.org/analysis/losing-winning-americas-wars-afghanistan-iraq-and-syria.Google Scholar
- (2019) The humanitarian fix: An ethnography of civilian protection in contemporary wars. Unpublished PhD thesis, University of Melbourne, Australia.Google Scholar
- (1962) A Lanchester model of guerrilla warfare. Oper. Res. 10(6):818–827.Link, Google Scholar
- (2008) So many zebras, so little time: Ecological models and counterinsurgency operations. Defense Horizons 62:1–8.Google Scholar
- (2009) Cascading extinctions and community collapse in model food webs. Philos. Trans. Roy. Soc. B: Biological Sci. 364(1524):1711–1723.Crossref, Google Scholar
- (2002) Simulating, Analyzing, and Animating Dynamical Systems: A Guide to XPPAUT for Researchers and Students, vol. 14 (SIAM).Crossref, Google Scholar
- (2011) The ecological and evolutionary implications of merging different types of networks. Ecology Lett. 14(11):1170–1181.Crossref, Google Scholar
- (2019) “Hospital shields” and the limits of international law. Eur. J. Internat. Law. 30(2):439–463.Crossref, Google Scholar
- (2011) Complex Adaptive Systems in Military Analysis (Institute for Defense Analysis, Alexandria, VA).Google Scholar
- (2008) Positive interactions among competitors can produce species-rich communities. Ecology Lett. 11(9):929–936.Crossref, Google Scholar
- (1973) A new formulation of Lanchester combat theory. Oper. Res. 21(4):926–941.Link, Google Scholar
- (1959) Some characteristics of simple types of predation and parasitism. Canadian Entomologist 91(7):385–398.Crossref, Google Scholar
- (1995) A salvo model of warships in missile combat used to evaluate their staying power. Naval Res. Logist. 42(2):267–289.Crossref, Google Scholar
- (2005) Fitting Lanchester’s square law to the Ardennes campaign. J. Oper. Res. Soc. 56(8):942–946.Crossref, Google Scholar
- (2019) Seeing the forest for the trees: Putting multilayer networks to work for community ecology. Functional Ecology 33(2):206–217.Crossref, Google Scholar
- (1988) A predator-prey model of guerrilla warfare. Synthese 76(2):235–244.Crossref, Google Scholar
- (2012) Talking to the other side: Humanitarian engagement with the Taliban in Afghanistan. Humanitarian Policy Group Paper, Overseas Development Institute, London.Google Scholar
- (2020a) Optimising structure in a networked Lanchester model for fires and manoeuvre in warfare. J. Oper. Res. Soc. 1–16.Crossref, Google Scholar
- (2020b) Modelling distributed decision-making in command and control using stochastic network synchronisation. Eur. J. Oper. Res. 284(2):588–603.Crossref, Google Scholar
- (2016) How structured is the entangled bank? The surprisingly simple organization of multiplex ecological networks leads to increased persistence and resilience. PLoS Biology 14(8):e1002527.Crossref, Google Scholar
- (2012) More than a meal…integrating non-feeding interactions into food webs. Ecology Lett. 15(4):291–300.Crossref, Google Scholar
- (2020) Dragons and the Snakes: How the Rest Learned to Fight the West (Scribe).Crossref, Google Scholar
- (1971) Attrition rates for weapons with Markov-dependent fire. Oper. Res. 19(3):698–706.Link, Google Scholar
- (2009) Why defeating insurgencies is hard: The effect of intelligence in counterinsurgency operations—A best-case scenario. Oper. Res. 57(3):578–585.Link, Google Scholar
- (2018) The attrition dynamics of multilateral war. Oper. Res. 66(4):950–956.Link, Google Scholar
- (1916) Aircraft in Warfare: The Dawn of the Fourth Arm (Constable & Co, London).Google Scholar
- (2015) Medical care in armed conflict: International humanitarian law and state responses to terrorism. Preprint, submitted September 8, https://ssrn.com/abstract=2657036.Google Scholar
- (2014) The optimal policy for the one-against-many heterogeneous Lanchester model. Oper. Res. Lett. 42(6–7):473–477.Crossref, Google Scholar
- (2004) Fitting Lanchester equations to the battles of Kursk and Ardennes. Naval Res. Logist. 51(1):95–116.Crossref, Google Scholar
- (2015) When Lanchester met Richardson, the outcome was stalemate: A parable for mathematical models of insurgency. J. Oper. Res. Soc. 66(2):191–201.Crossref, Google Scholar
- (2009) Diversity in a complex ecological network with two interaction types. Oikos 118(1):122–130.Crossref, Google Scholar
- (2004) Insurgency and Counterinsurgency in the 21st Century: Reconceptualizing Threat and Response (DIANE Publishing).Google Scholar
- (2012) Diversity of interaction types and ecological community stability. Sci. 337(6092):349–351.Crossref, Google Scholar
- (1990) Resource partitioning between intertidal predatory crabs: Interference and refuge utilization. J. Experiment. Marine. Biology Ecology 143(1–2):101–129.Crossref, Google Scholar
- Office for the Coordination of Humanitarian Affairs (2007) Guidelines on the Use of Foreign Military and Civil Defence Assets in Disaster Relief (United Nations).Google Scholar
- (2017) The multilayer nature of ecological networks. Nature Ecology Evolution 1(4):0101.Crossref, Google Scholar
- (2008) Natural Security: A Darwinian Approach to a Dangerous World (University of California Press).Google Scholar
- (2011) How Does Law Protect in War? (International Committee of the Red Cross).Google Scholar
- (1968) Lanchester models of guerrilla engagements. Oper. Res. 16(3):457–488.Link, Google Scholar
- (2015) A dynamic competition model of regime change. J. Oper. Res. Soc. 66(11):1939–1947.Crossref, Google Scholar
- (1977) Determining the class of payoffs that yield force-level-independent optimal fire-support strategies. Oper. Res. 25(3):506–516.Link, Google Scholar
- (1979) Optimal commitment of forces in some Lanchester-type combat models. Oper. Res. 27(1):96–114.Link, Google Scholar
- (1983) Lanchester Models of Warfare (2 vols.) (Operations Research Society of America, Military Applications Section: Arlington, VA).Google Scholar
- (1976) Canonical methods in the solution of variable-coefficient Lanchester-type equations of modern warfare. Oper. Res. 24(1):44–69.Link, Google Scholar
- (1975) Force-ratio considerations for some Lanchester-type models of warfare. Oper. Res. 23(3):522–533.Link, Google Scholar
- (2011) Using humanitarian aid to “win hearts and minds”: A costly failure? Internat. Rev. Red Cross 93(884):1035–1061.Crossref, Google Scholar
- (1992) Body size and consumer-resource dynamics. Amer. Naturalist 139(6):1151–1175.Crossref, Google Scholar
- (2021) Modelling host population support for combat adversaries. J. Oper. Res. Soc. Forthcoming.Google Scholar

