An Operational Critique of Detection Laws

This paper applies the test of operational meaningfulness to the many detection laws that have been formulated and used in the mathematical optimization of search, and given as generalizations of those first developed in the United States Navy during and immediately following World War II. The word “operational” is used both in the sense of practical O.R. and in that of P. W. Bridgman's well-known requirement: that in applying mathematics to the material world, the physical preconditions implied in the quantities used, the operations for measuring them, and their laws of consistency must be set forth explicitly. It is submitted that this criterion will orient O.R. work toward useful developments in the search theory and may serve to identify as such those theories that are of chief interest as developments in pure mathematics. Finally, we note that the requirement that every numerical assumption of probability distributions in a study of the outside world must be based on objective evidence is perfectly consistent with the “subjective” conception of probability, viz., that its meaning is apprehended intuitively—the former measures what the latter defines.