Interval Estimation After Sequential Testing Based on the Total Time on Test

Published Online:https://doi.org/10.1287/opre.32.3.726

Industrial life testing experiments often select m items at random to put on test. The items operate independently and are not replaced upon failure. Assume that the lifetime of each item has a probability distribution depending on an unknown parameter θ, where lifetimes with parameter θ1 tend to be smaller than lifetimes with parameter θ2 whenever θ1 is less than θ2. For example, the lifetime distribution can be exponential with mean θ. We develop a time truncated sequential procedure for testing the null hypothesis that θ is at least as large as a specified value θ0 against the alternative hypothesis that θ is less than θ0. The procedure allows quick rejection of the null hypothesis when the alternative is true and provides an accurate confidence interval for θ when the null hypothesis is accepted at the conclusion of the test. After deriving this procedure, we discuss the exponential case and illustrate our results with an example.

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