Confidence Calibration in a Multiyear Geopolitical Forecasting Competition
- Don A. Moore,
Corresponding Author
Don A. Moore
[email protected]University of California, Berkeley, Berkeley, California 94720
- Samuel A. Swift,
- Angela Minster,
- Barbara Mellers,
- Lyle Ungar,
- Philip Tetlock,
- Heather H. J. Yang,
Heather H. J. Yang
[email protected]Massachusetts Institute of Technology, Cambridge, Massachusetts 02139
- Elizabeth R. Tenney
Don A. Moore
, , Corresponding Author
Don A. Moore
[email protected]University of California, Berkeley, Berkeley, California 94720
Angela Minster
, Barbara Mellers
, , Philip Tetlock
, Heather H. J. Yang
, Heather H. J. Yang
[email protected]Massachusetts Institute of Technology, Cambridge, Massachusetts 02139
Elizabeth R. Tenney
Published Online:22 Aug 2016https://doi.org/10.1287/mnsc.2016.2525
Supplemental Material
mnsc.2016.2525-sm.pdf (3 MB)
