The authors thank Aurelien Baillon, Turan Bali, Alain Chateauneuf, Lauren Cohen, Stephen Dimmock, Sebastian Ebert, Simon Grant, Tigran Melkonyan, David Schreindorfer, Julian Thimme, Alexander Zimper, and seminar participants at the University of Connecticut, the 2021 North American Summer Meeting of the Econometric Society, the 2021 China Meeting of the Econometric Society, the 2023 International Symposium on Forecasting, the 2024 Conference of Behavioral Decision Research in Management, and the 2024 North American Summer Meeting of the Econometric Society for insightful comments related to this research. The authors thank Amit Goyal, Yehuda Izhakian, and Guofu Zhou for sharing their data with us.