Demystifying Disruption: A New Model for Understanding and Predicting Disruptive Technologies

References

• Acs Z. J., Audretsch D. B. Innovation in large and small firms: An empirical analysis. Amer. Econom. Rev. (1988) 78(4):678–690Google Scholar
• Adner R. When are technologies disruptive? A demand-based view of the emergence of competition. Strategic Management J. (2002) 23(8):667–688Crossref, Google Scholar
• Adner R., Zemsky P. Disruptive technologies and the emergence of competition. RAND J. Econom. (2005) 36(2):229–254Google Scholar
• Allison P. D.Survival Analysis Using SAS®: A Practical Guide (1995) (SAS, Cary, NC) Google Scholar
• Barney J. B., Garud R., Nayyar P. R., Shapira Z. B. On flipping coins and making technology choices: Luck as an explanation of technological foresight and oversight. Technological Innovation: Oversights and Foresights (1997) (Cambridge University Press, New York) 13–19Crossref, Google Scholar
• Bower J. L., Christensen C. M. Disruptive technologies: Catching the wave. Harvard Bus. Rev. (1995) 73(1):43–53Google Scholar
• Chandy R. K., Tellis G. J. Organizing for radical product innovation. J. Marketing Res. (1998) 35(4):474–487Crossref, Google Scholar
• Chandy R. K., Tellis G. J. The incumbent's curse? Incumbency, size, and radical product innovation. J. Marketing (2000) 64(3):1–17Crossref, Google Scholar
• Christensen C. M.The Innovator's Dilemma: When New Technologies Cause Great Firms to Fail (1997) (Harvard Business School Press, Boston) Google Scholar
• Christensen C. M., Raynor M.The Innovator's Solution: Creating and Sustaining Successful Growth (2003) (Harvard Business School Press, Boston) Google Scholar
• Christensen C. M., Rosenbloom R. S. Explaining the attacker's advantage: Technological paradigms, organizational dynamics, and value network. Res. Policy (1995) 24(2):233–257Crossref, Google Scholar
• Christensen C. M., Anthony S., Roth E.Seeing What's Next: Using Theories of Innovation to Predict Industry Change (2004) (Harvard Business School Press, Boston) Google Scholar
• Cohan P. S. The dilemma of the “innovator's dilemma”: Clayton Christensen's management theories are suddenly all the rage, but are they ripe for disruption? Indust. Standard (2000) January 10). http://www.computerworld.com.au/article/63941/dilemma_innovator_dilemma_/Google Scholar
• Cohen W. M., Levinthal D. A. Absorptive capacity: A new perspective on learning and innovation. Admin. Sci. Quart. (1990) 35(1):128–152Crossref, Google Scholar
• Danneels E. Disruptive technology reconsidered: A critique and research agenda. J. Product Innovation Management (2004) 21(4):246–258Crossref, Google Scholar
• Dosi G. Technological paradigms and technological trajectories: A suggested interpretation of the determinants and directions of technical change. Res. Policy (1982) 11(3):147–162Crossref, Google Scholar
• Foster R. N.Innovation: The Attacker's Advantage (1986) (Summit Books, New York) Crossref, Google Scholar
• Freeman C.The Economics of Industrial Innovation (1974) (Penguin, Harmondsworth, UK) Google Scholar
• Ghemawat P. Market incumbency and technological inertia. Marketing Sci. (1991) 10(2):161–171Link, Google Scholar
• Gilbert C. The disruption opportunity. Sloan Management Rev. (2003) 44(4):27–32Google Scholar
• Gilbert C., Bower J. L. Disruptive change: When trying harder is part of the problem. Harvard Bus. Rev. (2002) 80(May):94–101Google Scholar
• Golder P. N., Tellis G. J. Will it ever fly? Modeling the growth of new consumer durables. Marketing Sci. (1997) 16(3):256–270Link, Google Scholar
• Gould S., Eldridge N. Punctuated equilibria: The tempo and mode of evolution reconsidered. Paleobiology (1977) 3(2):115–151Crossref, Google Scholar
• Govindarajan V., Kopalle P. K. The usefulness of measuring disruptiveness of innovations ex-post in making ex ante predictions. J. Product Innovation Management (2006) 23(1):12–18Crossref, Google Scholar
• Grove A. Keynote. (1998) Presentation, Annual Meeting of the Academy of ManagementAugust 9(Academy of Management, Briarcliff Manor, NY) Google Scholar
• Hair J. F., Anderson T. R. L., Black W. C.Multivariate Data Analysis (2006) (Prentice Hall, Englewood Cliffs, NJ) Google Scholar
• Henderson R. M. Underinvestment and incompetence as responses to radical innovation: Evidence from the photolithographic alignment equipment industry. RAND J. Econom. (1993) 24(2):248–270Crossref, Google Scholar
• Henderson R. M. The innovator's dilemma as a problem of organizational competence. J. Product Innovation Management (2006) 23(1):5–11Crossref, Google Scholar
• Henderson R. M., Clark K. B. Architectural innovation: The reconfiguration of existing product technologies and the failure of established firms. Admin. Sci. Quart. (1990) 35(1):9–30Crossref, Google Scholar
• Hill C. W. L., Rothaermel F. T. The performance of incumbent firms in the face of radical technological innovation. Acad. Management Rev. (2003) 28(2):257–274Crossref, Google Scholar
• King A. A., Tucci C. L. Incumbent entry into new market niches: The role of experience and managerial choice in the creation of dynamic capabilities. Management Sci. (2002) 48(2):171–186Link, Google Scholar
• Kostoff R. N., Boylan R., Simons G. R. Disruptive technology roadmaps. Tech. Forecasting Soc. Change (2004) 71(1):141–159Crossref, Google Scholar
• Levinthal D. A. The slow pace of rapid technological change: Gradualism and punctuation in technological change. Indust. Corporate Change (1998) 7(2):217–247Crossref, Google Scholar
• Lieberman M. B., Montgomery D. B. First-mover advantages. Strategic Management J. (1988) 9(S1):41–58Crossref, Google Scholar
• Lillard L. A. Simultaneous equations for hazards: Marriage duration and fertility timing. J. Econometrics (1993) 56(1/2):189–217Crossref, Google Scholar
• Lillard L. A., Panis C. W. A. aML Version 2 User's Guide and Reference Manual. (2003) . EconWare, Los Angeles. http://www.applied-ml.com/download/amldoc.pdfGoogle Scholar
• Markides C. Disruptive innovation: In need of better theory. J. Product Innovation Management (2006) 23(1):19–25Crossref, Google Scholar
• Mokyr J. Punctuated equilibria and technological progress. Amer. Econom. Rev. (1990) 80(2):350–355Google Scholar
• Pavitt K., Wald S.The Conditions for Success in Technological Innovation (1971) (Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development, France) Google Scholar
• Raffi F., Kampas P. J. How to identify your enemies before they destroy you. Harvard Bus. Rev. (2002) 80(11):115–124Google Scholar
• Robertson T. S., Eliashberg J., Rymon T. New product announcement signals and incumbent reactions. J. Marketing (1995) 59(3):1–15Crossref, Google Scholar
• Rogers E. M.Diffusion of Innovations (2003) 5th ed.(Free Press, New York) Google Scholar
• Rothaermel F. T. Complementary assets, strategic alliances, and the incumbent's advantage: An empirical study of industry and firm effects in the biopharmaceutical industry. Res. Policy (2001) 30(8):1235–1251Crossref, Google Scholar
• Rothaermel F. T., Hill C. W. L. Technological discontinuities and complementary assets: A longitudinal study of industry and firm performance. Organ. Sci. (2005) 16(1):52–70Link, Google Scholar
• Schumpeter J. A.The Theory of Economic Development (1934) (Harvard University Press, Cambridge, MA) . [Reprint, Oxford University Press, New York, 1961]Google Scholar
• Schweidel D. A., Fader P. S., Bradlow E. T. A bivariate timing model of customer acquisition and retention. Marketing Sci. (2008) 27(5):829–843Link, Google Scholar
• Sood A., Tellis G. J. Technological evolution and radical innovation. J. Marketing (2005) 69(3):152–168Crossref, Google Scholar
• Sood A., Tellis G. J. Do innovations really pay off? Total stock market returns to innovation. Marketing Sci. (2009) 28(3):442–456Link, Google Scholar
• Sood A., James G. M., Tellis G. J. Functional regression: A new model for predicting market penetration of new products. Marketing Sci. (2009) 28(1):36–51Link, Google Scholar
• Tellis G. J. Disruptive technology or visionary leadership? J. Product Innovation Management (2006) 23(1):34–38Crossref, Google Scholar
• Tellis G. J., Prabhu J. C., Chandy R. K. Radical innovation across nations: The preeminence of corporate culture. J. Marketing (2009) 73(1):3–23Crossref, Google Scholar
• Tripsas M. Unraveling the process of creative destruction: Complementary assets and incumbent survival in the typesetter industry. Strategic Management J. (1997) 18(Summer special issue):119–142Crossref, Google Scholar
• Tushman M. L., Anderson P. Technological discontinuities and organizational environments. Admin. Sci. Quart. (1986) 31(3):604–633Crossref, Google Scholar
• Utterback J. M. Radical innovation and corporate regeneration. Res. Tech. Management (1994) 37(4):10–18Crossref, Google Scholar
• Utterback J. M., Acee H. J. Disruptive technologies: An expanded view. Internat. J. Innovation Management (2005) 9(1):1–18Crossref, Google Scholar